What Would Buddy Do?
The season is over because the NFC East will never lose another game
Posted on October 9th, 2008 at 11:33 am by Cheesesteak Hoagie

Eagles - Redskins at the Linc, 2008

While it’s difficult to argue with the strength of the NFC East as a division this year — definitely the best division in football, only one game lost outside of the division, thanks to the Birds’ craptasticness versus the Bears — I think we can towel off a wee bit about just how good the Cowboys, Giants, and Redskins are.  That is, when we read Reuben Frank’s relatively sober analysis of the Birds’ remaining schedule and it includes dire predictions about what needs to happen for the Eagles to catch their division rivals (8-3 the rest of the way, and hope that the other teams in the division go .500), the scary part should be the 8-3 part, not the “other teams go .500″ part. 

I mean, maybe the NFC East will win every game they play, but it doesn’t seem very likely.  Five games into the NFL season, we haven’t seen very many twists and turns in the division quite yet.  But the first week of October is a long way from the first week of December.  Things like “major injuries,” “ridiculous off-the-field issues,” “contract disputes,” and ”meddling owners” all have a tendency to show up and impact performance.  Will all four starting QBs in the division start 16 games?  Not likely (and let’s hope #5 isn’t one of the ones to go down).  Will the Cowboys and Giants manage their brewing dramas with Pacman and Plax?  Probably, but crazy things can happen.  Will T.O. keep it together?  Will the Skins keep their offensive line healthy?  On top of that, sometimes teams just don’t show up and they take a bad loss to a “bad” team.  It happens.   

The bigger point here is that the Eagles can stay in the hunt with a couple wins, and that worrying about the rest of the division heading into Week Six seems a bit premature.  Wining some of the games against those division rivals will make a difference, but they don’t have to worry about that until November 9.  Plenty of football between now and then.  Until then, we can let the cruel laws of statistics take their course — Reversion to the Mean, you’ve never looked so good!      

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